2012-10-01
2012-10-31
x The Cycle

PROGRAM
The Cycle 46
STATION
MSNBC 23
MSNBCW 23
DATE
Oct 24th (Wed) 2
Oct 23rd (Tue) 2
Oct 19th (Fri) 2
Oct 25th (Thu) 2
Oct 22nd (Mon) 2
Oct 29th (Mon) 2
Oct 31st (Wed) 2
Oct 30th (Tue) 2
Oct 18th (Thu) 2
Oct 26th (Fri) 2
Oct 17th (Wed) 2
Oct 5th (Fri) 2
Oct 8th (Mon) 2
Oct 4th (Thu) 2
Oct 3rd (Wed) 2
Oct 2nd (Tue) 2
Oct 1st (Mon) 2
Oct 9th (Tue) 2
Oct 16th (Tue) 2
Oct 15th (Mon) 2
Oct 12th (Fri) 2
Oct 11th (Thu) 2
Oct 10th (Wed) 2
LANGUAGE
English 46
TOPIC
romney 46
obama 44
steve 34
washington 26
krystal 25
paul ryan 24
virginia 24
ohio 22
barack obama 20
wisconsin 20
toure 19
iowa 18
new york 18
florida 17
joe biden 16
libya 16
( more )

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MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 22, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 22, 2012


is take the strategy that president bush used in 2004, which was look right into the camera and say you're safer with me. i care about the fact that we are going to prevent a terrorist attack here on american soil. i am the person that can prevent bad things from happening to this country because i understand how important our military is. how important foreign policy is. try to make that idea that mitt romney just doesn't get it. that you are safer with me, you're safe we are the incumbent, you're safer with me with my hand on the striger. is it a stretch to play to women voters in pay foreign policy debate? it's not a traditional landscape, shall we say, that really applies to swing voters, but it's possible. from what i've spoken to on both sides, when it comes to the women's vote the thing i hear is democrats saying we're going for the heart. republicans saying we're going for the head. they acknowledge they can make up a lot of ground on social issues important to women, especially younger women, but they say the economy is most worriso worrisome. democrats say he's not one of us.
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 3, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 3, 2012


around. that's what i'm looking for. here with us now in denver, we have howard fineman, the "huffington post" media group. said he is the buffalo bob of our show. >> now i'm don meredith because don meredith always used to say on monday night football, when the game was nearly over, woe start singing. ♪ the party's over but not there yet. >> bring you back to sing at some point, heward. before we do that, we have another task and i thought howard would be the perfect guy to lead this off. basically, we want to look ahead to this debate tonight and all for a moment, assume the role of moderator, jim lehrer, pbs, a moderating this thing tonight. let just go around right now, we will start with you, howard. you got jim lehrer's seat, the two questions in front of you -- two candidates right in front of you. what is the one question that you think would you most like to see jim lehrer ask one of these candidates tonight? >> i would focus on mitt romney because this really is it for mitt. i would go right at the central concern. i would say i would ask, governor, bain capital, which you he
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 8, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 8, 2012


the debate tell us who will win in november? the answer will surprise you. it's coming in "the cycle" for columbus day 2012: >>> we've got a month to go in this marathon we call a presidential election race. today on "the cycle" we ask the big question, what matters? is there an event or series of events that makes the winner win? can a good debate performance erase months of a campaign? about three hours ago mitt romney took a foreign policy swipe in what will be billed as a big speech. >> the president has failed to offer the tangible support that our partners want and need. i know the president hopes for a safer, freer and more prosperous middle east allied with us. i share this hope, but hope is not a strategy. the greater tragedy of it all is we're missing a historic opportunity to win new friends who share our values in the middle east, friends fighting for their own futures against the same violent extremists and evil tyrants and angry mobs that seek to harm up. >> right now the president is speaking at the national headquarters of the united farm workers union in california.
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 1, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 1, 2012


and catch up with him and i don't think the debates will do it for him. >> a take us if you will, behind the curtain, in the kerry campaign at this point, you were down about six points nationally which is roughly the margin where mitt romney finds himself down at this point. what's the mood inside the campaign? does it become hard to keep your spirits up? is there a danger of having sort of a gloomy mood per vads the campaign itself? >> that's always a danger and i think one of the great things that the obama campaign had four years ago is they didn't pay a lot of attention to all of this. they weren't watching all of these cable news shows and paying attention to the chattering class. the romney campaign is being buried by the media, not just the liberal media, but every media. look at all the polls it's not just "the washington post" and "new york times" polls, it's the fox polls, everything says this guy is going to lose. and if you're inside the campaign you got to just let all that clutter get out of your head and you have to not listen to it. you have to look at the fundamentals w
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 18, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 18, 2012


us sort it out we have chris mooney. chris, thanks for joining us. >> thanks for having me. >> you've been on the ground in specifically ohio and florida. the big news out of ohio is they have the boss and big dog, bill clinton and bruce springsteen, stumping for the president. do they have aan impact in swing sets? >> they get attention, and they bring people out. that's not to say mitt romney and obama can't bring people. in the month of october they're pulling more than 10,000 people into rallies. the key take away here is the era of the national campaign is over. you have to think of it as a big pinball machine rigged with magnets to key states. these candidates don't focus on other states anymore. we look at a handful to spend a lot of time. >> that really new in the modern era? has that changed over time? >> it has. there was a great piece in national journal today that talked about how california used to be a swing state where places went back and forth. we see these things change. now this era of the end of the national campaign could change in the future, but for now it se
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 4, 2012
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Oct 4, 2012


. >> steve, what do you think the ultimate impact is going to be? is this the game change moment to use the term that we hate? >> i swear we're living in this mirror image of 2004 where the bush role is played by obama and where kerry is played by romney. i remember september 30th, 2004, watching that debate and watching the reaction after that debate between kerry and bush and the reaction of democrats. i thought of taking some of the quotes from some republican and conservative pundits talking about how this changes the race, just switch in kerry's name for romney, switch in obama for bush. exact same sort of mental adjustment. the silver lining for that for democrats is bush went on, and he didn't i think win the next two debates but recovered and was serviceable in the next two debates. >> do we really think that anybody who was a lean obama voter changed their mind and said, now i'm going to vote for mitt romney because he won that debate? i don't think so. >> i think it was the first time -- this is what i wanted as a conservative voter. i don't mind telling you i'm voting for mit
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 12, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 12, 2012


't this a massive intelligence failure, vice president biden? >> wherever the facts lead us, wherever they lead us, we will make clear to the american public because whatever mistakes were made will not be made again. >> this is becoming more troubling by the day. they first blame the youtube video, now they're trying to blame the romney/ryan ticket for making this an issue. >> with all due respect that's a bunch of malarkey. when there's a crisis we pull together as a nation. even before we knew what happened to the ambassador the governor was holding a press conference, holding a press conference. that's not presidential leadership. >> the debate moved from foreign policy to the 47%. >> it shouldn't be surprising for a guy who says 47% of the american people are unwilling to take responsibility for their own lies. my friend recently in a speech in washington said 30% of the american people are takers. these people are my mom and dad, the people i grew up with, my neighbors, they pay more effective tax than governor romney pays in his federal income tax. >> governor romney is a good man. he cares
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 15, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 15, 2012


them. >> that's a more useful pursuit, filler of our time than trying to figure out what will happen with these polls. i think that what's happened here is this race is exactly where it's been for months, and that is that it's extremely close. it particularly favors obama narrowly in the swing states. i think a lot of us got carried away when romney was having that terrible time. i think a lot of us got carried away in the other direction when obama flopped in the first debat debate. i think we've seen swings in polls, but the fundamentals of the race haven't changed that dramatically. now maybe obama will do something tomorrow to make it change nor dramatically, but it still seems like the fundamentals are where they've been for a long time now. >> steve, what do you think about this new trend to aggregate the swing state polls andle that will tell you what? >> no. there's a new one out today that takes 10, 12, 15 of so-called battleground states and gives you romney is ahead by two points. can we do away with these in the future? these have no value whatsoever. give me the national
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 2, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 2, 2012


they matter too much for the voters. it's a lot of fun for us to talk about. you know, as the comedy that you were just playing before suggested, if either one of these guys gets a complete sentence out, it should be a surprise to all of us. look, i think that it -- it matters a little bit on the margins, working the reporters who then report to the public. by and large i think the public is pretty good at making its own judgments. i don't think people walk in going, well, my expectations is about a 4, so if he gets a 6, i'll vote for him. if he gets a 5, no way. i don't think it works that way for most voters. >> i saw an interesting tweet come across the twitter this morning from carole simpson. she said debates are about style and not substance, despite what campaigns say. does he look and sound good is he personable? that's your winner. do you think she's right? we're not talking about substance, which we talk about on the trail and in conventions for months now. it's about the style and interpersonal intelligence from each guy? >> i've known carole simpson since i was a little kid, and s
MSNBC - The Cycle
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Oct 30, 2012
MSNBC
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Oct 30, 2012


what's brightest in america. i mean, i think all of us, obviously, have been shocked by the force of mother nature as we watch it on television. at the same time, we've also seen nurses at nyu hospital carrying fragile newborns to safety. we've seen incredibly brave firefighters in queens waist-deep in water battling infernos and rescuing people in boats. one of my favorite stories is down in north carolina the coast guard going out to save a sinking ship. they sent a rescue swimmer out, and the rescue swimmer said, hi, i'm dan. i understand you guys need a ride. that kind of spirit of resilience and strength but most importantly looking out for one another. that's why we always bounce back from these kinds of disasters. this is a tough time for a lot of people. millions of folks all across the eastern seaboard, but america's tougher. we're tougher because we pull together. we leave nobody behind. we make sure that we respond as a nation and remind ourselves whenever an american is in need, all of us stand together to make sure that we're providing the help that's necessary. so i
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 24, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 24, 2012


in 2008. if you look across the nine battlegrounds that most of us are focused on and the campaigns spending money, the difference, obama's a little bit ahead but the difference between that and the national vote is less than 1% overall. we lose sight of the fact that most -- half the votes in the battleground states in florida, virginia and north carolina and a little bit of an advantage working obama's way. that could give him the election if, if, if those polling leads hold. >> mark, obama recently had an off the record discussion with "the des moines register" and some of that leaked out to the rest of us. but one thing he said that was really interesting is that latinos -- should i win a big reason will be because the republican nominee and party have so alienated the fastest-growing demographic group in the country the latino community. if the turnout is over 9%, obama should win the lead among them is massive. do you think that turnout will be the thing to make the difference in nevada, colorado, florida, perhaps virginia, those competitive states with growing latino populati
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 10, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 10, 2012


and will be there live for us tomorrow. the face-off is stark differences of the two men on display. ryan fancies himself a numbers guy, of course. biden is beloved for feared for saying what he thinks and then the generation gap between the two. think of it this way. when biden was elected in 2002, r -- ryan wasn't -- >> i don't know how paul will deal with this debate. obviously, the vice president has done, i don't know, 15 or 20 debates during his lifetime. experienced debater. this is, i think paul's first debate. he may have done something in high school. i don't know. >> so amusing. >> we always joke about saying the bar is load for your own side. that might be the lowest. my own thoughts heading in to this, i have been saying, you know, all week that i just basically expect biden to turn in the performance that obama did not turn in. >> sure. >> do not miss the openings that obama missed going after the missing details of romney's plans, the context he didn't want to talk about the plans and seen paul ryan think of the issue of how to pay for the tax cut plan. paul ryan's been asked the time a fe
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 17, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 17, 2012


and decide which ones to use and didn't say that was his policy. he just sort of floated it as an idea. that's a strange thing to do at this point, isn't it? >> it was. i think the president probably should have said, hey pal, this is your policy? this is your basic policy and you're picking a number? >> right. >> you know, we're not playing a -- you know, i'll take door number two here. i thought the president did a very good job of preparing for this debate with phrases like sketchy deal. >> fuzzy math. >> it's not a five-point plan, it's a one-point plan was the president's best summary of his case against mitt romney's economic theories. on the other hand, mitt romney did a very good job of summarizing his case which is essentially that the president hasn't kept the economic promises. >> right. howard -- >> that's the reason why the polls showed what they did last night on economics. >> right. and just to that point, i mean, everyone from joe scarborough to tom friedman to joe klein all admitted -- >> that's not a broad spectrum. >> be that as it may, they all agreed that obama was back
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 11, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 11, 2012


. >> come on. >> get me. >> no, not burgess meredith, but howard fineman. howard, take us through, what are you expecting for this debate tonight? >> well, what i'm expecting is vice president biden to come out and repair some of the damage that the ticket took on last week in denver. i think the vice president knows that he has to answer some of the accusations that the president didn't a week ago and that joe biden has to attack on points that the president didn't do very effectively or specifically including what deductions, what end of tax credits do you want paul ryan and more important mitt romney and what about medicare? what does your plan really amount to? i think the vice president needs to be specific. he needs to focus and he will and he needs to remember that nobody votes based on the vice presidential candidates themselves. joe biden's target tonight in the end is not really paul ryan, it's mitt romney and it's the mitt romney that the president didn't successfully attack last week. >> and, howard, to that point, has romney in some ways made paul ryan's job more difficult,
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 9, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 9, 2012


use and abortion has been in the state largely because of a very ugly and contentious debate this year about personhood and trans vaginal probes in virginia. in the debates it's a huge topic. they got into the weeds of discussing how contraception works, which is crazy. >> do they know? >> one did. one of them did. >> always good to hear old white men talking about that. >> how contraception works. you can look at kaine's website what he said about abortion then and now. his position hasn't changed, but the way he frames it is totally different. in 2005 at top of that page it said, i have a faith-based opposition to abortion. as governor i will work in good faith to reduce abortions and talks about his opposition to partial birth abortions, et cetera, et cetera. now on his website he says, i strongly support the right of women to make their own health and reproductive decisions and for that reason, will oppose efforts to weaken or subvert the basic holding of row v. wade. total different framing on the issue. he's been on the offense and has a 12-point gap in favor of kaine with women.
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 23, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 23, 2012


. they say a picture is worth a thousand words, so what did those freeze frames tell us last night. >> the best part is either side can argue they took the win. maybe not in that first one, but we'll let both sides make their case live this hour. >> i have a form invitation for all you undecided voters. rsvp to "the cycle" on october 23rd, 2012. >>> the debates are done, and now the question is where do we go from here? we know one thing for sure. the candidates are now in a two-week sprint to decision day 2012. the president began him by unveiling this magic book in florida. a repaj kajing of his plans. >> in this this campaign i've laid out a plan for jobs and middle class security. unlike mitt romney i'm actually proud to talk about what's in it. by the way, the math in my plan adds up. folks who are still not convinced can look right here and find out what it is i intend to do in a second term. >> i want to get my hands on that magic book. from there it's off to ohio for another rally in 45 minutes. we're there and have the president hopefully before the show is over. as for mi
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 26, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 26, 2012


is behind us. >> let's bring in "times" deputy washington bureau chief michael crowley. how are you? we just saw the president talking to michael smirkonish, he was on "rock center," the "tonight show" and "morning joe." he's doing a lot of interviews. meanwhile romney said no more interviews for the ref of the election, what do you make of these two different strategies? >> well i'm a little surprised because i think that all though it seems like the popular vote right now in the polling is at least tied and romney may even have a little bit of an edge, i think obama has the electoral advantage. my analysis of the race is that romney needs to work a little bit more to get it, to get over the top and it looks a little bit like obama is the one working it harder. may make the calculation that romney's to gap ratio is higher so maybe the stakes are lower from the obama camp to go out and do that. the thing that strikes me more is that visual you played, it's probably artificial and manufactured but great for the campaign, the president running on the gang plank with his sleeves rolled up, jogg
MSNBC - The Cycle
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Oct 16, 2012
MSNBC
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Oct 16, 2012


and uses. i do think in the final analysis, however, that these are very, very useful. the country is reengaged in this campaign as a result of what happened in the first debate when romney made an unexpectedly strong appearance, and the president made by even his strongest supporters made a very, very weak appearance in that first debate. so now folks are looking at a second time at president obama and taking a first look at governor romney. >> as the race stands, there's on no doubt it's tight and romney made up ground. two state polls caught my eye today. new hampshire according to the suffolk university, it's dead even, and quinn pack says it's he closing since the denver rate? are the debates all that influential? >> ni think they are in this case. i'm having some discussions with the obama cam pags, in which i think a lot of voter support out there is pretty soft on both sides. in other words, people for governor romney or for president obama at this point can, in fact, be moved depending on what happens in this debate and the one again next week. we saw that last week. peopl
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 31, 2012
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Oct 31, 2012


including the homes of the four of us, actually. floodwaters are still swamping complete neighborhoods. we're seeing jarring footage today of stranded residents being rescued from their own homes and some of the 375,000 new yorkers ordered to evacuate. u.s. navy with three carrier ships to new york harbor right now and rescue chopper haves a place to land and slowly signs of life creeping back in the city. some city buses are running. majority of mass transit is frozen. limited subway service set to resume tomorrow. some commuters took to walking in to the city over bridges. crews trying to pump the stations but it could take days or weeks to get fully back online. same goes for most of the city's tunnels. the arm corps of engineers is working to bring in extra pumps. jfk and newark airport are open. there are some flights coming in. laguardia is closed and 16,000 flights canceled due to sandy. one of the producers stuck in arizona since before the storm hit and we might have to open a flagstaff bureau for him. straight ahead, who would have thought mitt romney's top surrogate chris christ
MSNBC - The Cycle
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Oct 25, 2012
MSNBC
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Oct 25, 2012


the panda bears struck three homers to win game one for the used to be giants. >> plus time-out, i have big news. it's time to play ball on this thursday, october 25th. >> what? >>> as promised for all you cycle politicians and baseball fans, we know who you are, we're back on the thursday field after the rain delay or the debate dlal. the game is in the bottom of the eighth is still a virtual tie. each size has complimentary players like michelle, bill and joe ready to help out. still out there are ann, chris and paul the water man ryan to be heard from. let's pause to talk about the real world series of baseball. it was panda time last night in game one in the first inning. and then in the third inning. >> bam. >> and one more time in the fifth. san francisco sandoval kills detroit's verlander. the giants go up 1-0 in the series. sandoval is the fourth to hit three homers in a world series game joining babe ruth, reggie jackson and al pujols. back to politics with 12 days to go. >> we have a long way to go, virginia, but we've come too far to turn back now. if you give me four more years,
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 5, 2012
MSNBCW
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Oct 5, 2012


are getting jobs. now, every month reminds us that we've still got too many of our friends and neighbors looking for work. today's news certainly is not an excuse to talk down the economy to score a few political points. it's a reminder that this country has come too far to turn back now. >> my friends, whenever fall comes the leaves turn pretty colors and the jobs numbers bring in our dynamic duo, peter and jared. how are you my wonky friends? >> we're wonking along. >> we're pretty wonky. >> do you think that wonk spelled backwards is know? >> excellent. you just blew my mind. >> as is k-n-o-w. were you trying to figure out whether i meant it was n-o. >> you're burning up the time. he wants to talk about the president's great numbers. >> you have to love the 7.8% number. talk about that. >> there's two ways to bring the unemployment rate down. in august the unemployment rate ticked down by 0.2% because a bunch of people left the job market. in september it was the opposite. lots of people got jobs, the unemployment rate fell 0.3%. one, you have a little momentum but the monthly numbers
MSNBCW - The Cycle
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Oct 19, 2012
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Oct 19, 2012


be devastating for the country in terms of ripping us apart and creating the legitimacy problem in the second obama administration when it existed in the first one? >> i think not for two reasons. number one, it didn't hurt george bush. george bush managed to govern and got democratic cooperation on the vote on the war, he got democratic cooperation on medicare part d. he got democratic cooperation on no child left behind. so he managed to do it. now, it's a different scenario with obama. there's no question about that. i think what will pull the nation together, if that outcome occurs, is the need to do something to deal with the fiscal crisis. crisis has a tendency to be the one driving force that can bring people together. in government we say, don't waste a good crisis, because it's an opportunity to get things done. i think we're facing such a dangerous path that i think people will have to govern together regardless of who wins, whether it's governor romney, president obama re-elected, whatever the congressional makeup is. so i wouldn't worry about that, but i do think we ought to take
MSNBC - The Cycle
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Oct 29, 2012
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Oct 29, 2012


, and we have a line to protect us from flying debris. the debris through these straights is crazy once the winds start howling. >> sure. especially down there. wind goes through those building tunnels really quickly. dave holder, thanks so much. >> thank you so much. >> there's no doubt sandy is a monster storm, and right now the team at the weather channel is warning of water levels rising suddenly and rapidly. dylan dryer is here with these concerns and why experts are sounding the alarm. >> they're sounding the alarm because you have this storm out over the water, and the storm if it was sitting still would have this rotation. we have those strong, gusty, northeast winds. on top of that the storm has picked up in forward speed, so it's pushing all the water towards the shore. not only is it spinning and has its own wind gusts up near 70, 80, 90 miles per hour, but now it's racing towards the coastline at 28 miles per hour. so all of that water is getting pushed onshore. that's why we are going to see rises in those water levels right along the coast, especially around new jersey and

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